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2024-12-13 05:40:30

Reserve Bank of Australia: The issue of interest rate cuts was not explicitly discussed. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that interest rate cuts were not explicitly considered, and interest rate hikes were not discussed. Considering whether the current policy stance is appropriate. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with the forecast.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.OpenAI has made a big profit, and institutions have increased their positions in four high-growth potential stocks. According to data treasure, on December 10th, OpenAI officially opened the artificial intelligence video generation model Sora to users, and it has been 10 months since the first public preview of the product. At the same time, the company announced the launch of a new version of Sora, Sora Turbo, saying that it is significantly faster than the version previewed in February. In early trading today, AIGC concept stocks broke out, and Shensi Electronics and Worth Buying all recorded a 20cm daily limit. According to data treasure statistics, as of December 9, there were nearly 200 concept stocks involving AIGC, and the total market value of A shares was close to 3 trillion yuan. Since the beginning of this year, the cumulative increase of 12 concept stocks has doubled, including Doushen Education, PricewaterhouseCoopers, An Shuo Information, Fushi Holdings and Bestak. The cumulative increase of Doushen Education was 279.64%, ranking first. At the same time, according to the unanimous prediction of more than five institutions, there are 11 AIGC concept stocks whose net profit growth rate is expected to exceed 20% from 2024 to 2026.


The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan for the third consecutive trading day.The researcher of Everbright Bank commented on China's import and export data in November: the export growth rate is stronger than seasonality, and foreign trade exports are expected to grow steadily in the next few months. Zhou Maohua, a macro researcher in the financial market department of Everbright Bank, told Wall Street that the export growth rate in November was stronger than seasonality, the import decline exceeded expectations (weaker than seasonality), the trade surplus expanded, and foreign trade contributed more to the economy in the fourth quarter. Due to the resilience of overseas demand, overseas foreign trade importers rushed to avoid tariffs and hoarded goods in advance, and the effects of policies such as stabilizing foreign trade appeared, driving export growth to exceed expectations; The decline in imports in November exceeded expectations, mainly due to the weak recovery of domestic demand, the cautious decision of enterprises to expand and increase import inventory, and the low prices of international energy and other commodities that depressed the overall import cost.Japan Meteorological Agency: There is a 70% chance that La Niñ a will not occur before the arrival of spring. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that there are no signs of El Niñ o and La Niñ a at present, but the characteristics of La Niñ a are emerging. There is a 70% chance that La Nina will not occur before the spring comes.


Broad-based index products are expected to increase the Y share of personal pension, and personal pension products are expected to expand after the second anniversary of the personal pension system. It is understood that mainstream broad-based index products are expected to increase the personal pension Y share, including Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI A500 Index, GEM Index and other products, which can provide investors with more allocation needs.China Heihe-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. On December 10th, with the first passenger completing the exit formalities, China Heihe Highway Port-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. Passengers take buses from Heihe International Highway Passenger Station in China and Amoula Suo International Bus Station in Blagoveshchensk, Russia, respectively, and cross the Sino-Russian cross-border highway bridge, with four buses entering and leaving each country every day. After the official opening of passenger transportation at Heihe Highway Port, the functions of Sino-Russian highway ports have been further improved, providing a more convenient channel for cross-border communication. (Xinhua News Agency)Broad-based index products are expected to increase the Y share of personal pension, and personal pension products are expected to expand after the second anniversary of the personal pension system. It is understood that mainstream broad-based index products are expected to increase the personal pension Y share, including Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI A500 Index, GEM Index and other products, which can provide investors with more allocation needs. (SSE)

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